Schaerer et al. (2023) conducted a pre-registered meta-analysis of 44 years of field experiments on gender gaps in hiring decisions with quite interesting results:
- Discrimination against women for male-typed and balanced jobs decreased across time.
- Discrimination against men for female-typed jobs remained stable across time.
- Average effect is small - the average odds of male applicants to receive a callback is 0.91 times the odds of equally qualified female applicants (with 95% CI from 0.86 to 0.97).
- Heterogeneity of true effects is very high, specifically 83% of total variance across studies can be attributed to heterogeneity rather than random chance, so the average effect is not so telling.
- In addition to the meta-analysis, the study also included a forecasting challenge in which researchers and laypeople attempted to accurately estimate both time-trends and the current pervasiveness of gender biases in selection settings. Forecasters expected observed decline, but overestimated the degree of remaining bias.

Note on the attached chart: In all figures, odds ratios above 1 indicate a greater preference for male applicants and odds ratios below 1 indicate greater preference for female applicants.
Related notes
- Evidence-based interventions that help reduce the gender pay gap
- Visualizing shifts in validity estimates for selection procedures
- And what are your career hurdles?
- Biases introduced by video backgrounds during video interviews
- Vocational interests don’t seem so uninteresting after all
📄 Read the original post with full outputs on my blog.